As the hurricane season ramps up, the National Hurricane Center is closely monitoring two areas in the Atlantic Basin for potential tropical development. After Tropical Storm Dexter weakened, attention has turned to a low-pressure system expected to form along a stationary front off the Southeast coast. This system could eventually develop into a tropical depression or storm, bringing rounds of showers with locally heavy rain to the Southeastern region.
Additionally, high surf and rip currents are anticipated along the East Coast, particularly from the Delmarva Peninsula to North Carolina. Meanwhile, a tropical wave in the far eastern Atlantic Ocean is showing signs of potential development, with forecast models suggesting various scenarios, including a northward turn into the central Atlantic or a west-northwest track towards the Caribbean or Bahamas.
Despite the uncertainties, meteorologists are leaning towards the first scenario, but they urge vigilance and advise staying updated for any changes. The transition of Tropical Storm Dexter into a non-tropical low over the North Atlantic is expected by Thursday. Looking ahead, meteorologists are keeping a watchful eye on any low-pressure systems that may form along the northern Gulf, as well as on the continuous parade of tropical waves originating from Africa.
Given the favorable conditions of warm water, low wind shear, and moist air, the upcoming weeks are expected to witness a significant increase in tropical activity across the Atlantic basin. Historically, this peak activity period spans the next 4 to 6 weeks and can manifest in various regions, including the Gulf, the Caribbean Sea, the East Coast, and the central Atlantic. It is crucial for individuals to have their hurricane plans in place well in advance of any potential storms.
Jonathan Erdman, a senior meteorologist at weather.com, has been tracking national and international weather for over two decades and specializes in extreme and unusual weather phenomena. As we rely on data and technology for forecasting, it's essential to understand how your data is used to tailor services according to your preferences and needs.
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